Nvidia's Unprecedented 2028 Guidance Sparks $371B Market Cap Surge, Propels Tech Futures Higher
Nvidia shares surged 9% in after-hours trading and added $371.7 billion to its market value after the AI chipmaker issued an unprecedented 70% revenue growth forecast for fiscal 2028, driving Nasdaq futures up 1.1% and reigniting a broad tech rally.
Nvidia added $371.7 billion in market value and hit a $5.4 trillion market capitalization after the company delivered a blockbuster quarterly report and an unusually long-term growth forecast that stunned markets, according to multiple reports.
Shares surged 9% in after-hours trading following the Q2 earnings beat, according to Seeking Alpha, and extended gains to 7.4% in pre-market trading, as reported by ZeroHedge. Investing.com noted the stock was within striking distance of its all-time high.
The centerpiece of the surge was Nvidia's first-ever multi-year revenue outlook. The company guided for 70% revenue growth in fiscal 2028, well above consensus estimates of around 45%, ZeroHedge reported. The forecast, described as "unprecedented," came with CEO Jensen Huang stating on the conference call that "investing in these companies is a once in a generation opportunity. I think the only regret that I have is that I didn't invest more and sooner."
The guidance pushed back on concerns about a bubble in the AI economy and the so-called "circular deal narrative," ZeroHedge noted. Huang's "results put several major negatives to rest," according to Dan Ives of Wedbush Securities, as reported by Benzinga.
**Futures and Broader Market Reaction**
The upbeat outlook lifted equity futures. S&P 500 futures rose 0.5% and Nasdaq futures jumped 1.1% as of 8:00 a.m. ET, ZeroHedge reported. The tech-heavy index was buoyed by Nvidia's pre-market gain, even as most other Magnificent Seven stocks traded lower: Alphabet -0.4%, Amazon -0.3%, Apple -1.1%, Meta Platforms -0.3%, Microsoft -1%, while Tesla gained 0.4%.
The AI infrastructure trade was reignited broadly. Semiconductor stocks rose 3%, with Advanced Micro Devices gaining 1% and Intel up 2%, according to ZeroHedge. Memory stocks gained 3.6%, software shares rose 2.3%, and Korean chip stocks added 2.1%. Marvell Technology was up 5.2% ahead of its own earnings report.
Outside of tech, most sectors were lower, ZeroHedge reported, with industrials and utilities benefiting from the revived AI trade. Retail flows shifted from ETFs to single stocks, with Nvidia and Mag7 names most bought, while gold saw strong inflows.
**Analyst Takeaways on the AI Cycle**
The strong guidance eased fears about demand saturation for AI accelerators. Amanda Lyons, head of research at Energy Group Capital, said in a note cited by ZeroHedge that Nvidia's results "effectively pushes the cyclical question further out and, crucially, gives investors permission to extend the earnings-growth runway not just for Nvidia, but across the second- and third-order beneficiaries of the AI buildout."
Lyons also noted the constraints are physical — memory and power bottlenecks — not a shortage of end demand. "The company is taking a more active role in removing the capital and infrastructure bottlenecks that could constrain its own growth," she added.
The VIX Index fell below 15 and VVIX below 86, while one-year Nvidia implied volatility appeared cheap despite its CDS trading at highs, according to ZeroHedge. However, some analysts flagged the risk of AI headline fatigue. Dave Lutz at Jonestrading noted that given Jensen's "constant visibility this quarter, the myriad of circular deal announcements, and just the mental exhaustion from AI headlines," the main event of the week remains the Fed's Jackson Hole symposium.
**Corporate Earnings Movers**
Beyond Nvidia, a slew of software and security firms rose after raising forecasts. CrowdStrike surged 9% after boosting its full-year outlook on key metrics. Okta jumped 17% on a similar forecast upgrade. Salesforce climbed 10% after raising guidance and announcing an expanded partnership with Anthropic. Nutanix gained 5% on a strong quarterly beat.
In the retail sector, Dollar General rose 13% after second-quarter comparable sales topped expectations and management boosted guidance. Dollar Tree fell 4% after its third-quarter and full-year guidance disappointed.
Elsewhere, Wendy's plunged 14% after Reuters reported that Nelson Peltz's Trian Fund Management has no plans to bid for the fast-food chain. Caesars Entertainment turned down a bid from Carl Icahn, choosing a lower offer from Tilman Fertitta, ZeroHedge reported. A $31 billion joint venture between Kioxia and Sandisk to expand flash memory production added to the tech-positive tone.
**Macro and Policy Context**
The macro data calendar for Thursday includes July advance goods trade balance, weekly jobless claims, and the Kansas City Fed manufacturing index, ZeroHedge noted. Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack is scheduled to speak on CNBC at 10 a.m. and Fox Business at 1 p.m.
Bond yields rose 1-2 basis points, the dollar was flat, and commodities were mostly lower, dragged by energy and base metals. Gold was flat; silver was higher.
Despite the positive Nvidia news, Politico reported the White House is considering a fresh round of tariffs on chips, which contributed to a pullback from highs in the broader Nasdaq, according to ZeroHedge.
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