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Forex

India forex reserves hit record $729.3 billion, bolstering rupee defense arsenal

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India's foreign exchange reserves surged to an all-time high of $729.33 billion as of August 21, driven by a wave of NRI deposits under a central bank swap window, strengthening the Reserve Bank of India's capacity to defend the rupee amid lingering global uncertainty.

India's foreign exchange reserves vaulted to a fresh all-time high of $729.33 billion in the week ended August 21, marking an eighth consecutive weekly rise and the largest accumulation since before geopolitical tensions triggered a drawdown earlier this year.

Reserves jumped $12.42 billion during the reporting week, according to data released Friday by the Reserve Bank of India. The previous record of $728.49 billion was set in the week ended February 27, before the onset of the Middle East conflict led to several weeks of declines as the rupee came under pressure and the RBI intervened through dollar sales.

### Components of the rise

Foreign currency assets—the largest component of reserves—rose $9.48 billion to $591.33 billion during the week. Changes in this category include the impact of appreciation or depreciation of non-US currencies such as the euro, pound and yen held in the country's reserves.

Gold reserves climbed $2.80 billion to $114.22 billion. Special Drawing Rights (SDRs) increased by $112 million to $18.85 billion, while India's reserve position with the International Monetary Fund rose $26 million to $4.93 billion.

The latest rise takes reserves $38.22 billion above their end-March level and $38.61 billion higher than a year earlier, according to RBI data.

### Measures to attract dollar inflows

The record build-up follows a series of measures rolled out in June to attract overseas dollar inflows and strengthen the balance of payments. The measures included discounted hedging facilities for overseas borrowings by state-run firms and banks, along with a free-cost hedging facility for banks to raise overseas foreign currency deposits.

At the heart of the surge is the RBI's special forex swap facility for Foreign Currency Non-Resident (FCNR-B) deposits. Indian banks have mobilised $65.4 billion in FCNR-B deposits under this window, with total foreign exchange inflows through the scheme reaching $72.85 billion since it was announced on June 5. The scale of inflows prompted the central bank to bring forward the closure of the facility by a month to August 31.

Reserves have increased by about $63 billion over the eight weeks of consecutive rises, and by roughly $48 billion since the scheme was announced.

### RBI intervention and forward liabilities

Not all the gross inflows will show up one-for-one in the reserves. The full $72 billion in gross inflows may not be fully reflected because some of the dollar flows are used by the central bank to support the rupee through spot market intervention, while a portion may also go toward reducing its outstanding forward liabilities. The RBI's net short forward positions stood at $104 billion as of June 30.

"The rise in FX reserves is a combination of RBI buying dollars during that week and the rest is revaluation gain. The dollar purchase is led by FCNR-B swap window with banks pushing for deposits before the window closes," Gaura Sen Gupta, chief economist at IDFC First Bank, told Reuters, as reported by the Times of India.

Bankers told Reuters that the RBI's frequent interventions in the foreign exchange market to support the rupee have likely offset the impact of some of the overseas dollar inflows.

### Implications for rupee defense

The record reserves provide the RBI with a larger war chest to manage rupee volatility at a time when global uncertainty persists. The IndianExpress summary noted that the higher reserves indicate a greater ability of the RBI to defend the rupee. With the swap window now set to close on August 31, the pace of reserve accumulation is expected to slow, but the elevated stock offers a buffer against external shocks.

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Acerca de Wei Zhang

Asia Correspondent. Reports on China's economy, Japanese and Indian markets, and trade flows across the region. He connects manufacturing data, policy shifts, and currency moves to what global investors watch in Asian sessions.

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